Monday, July 07, 2008

Signs and Portents

In the ancient world, many signs and symbols carried with them deep meanings and were often the key to unlocking the future. Changes in weather, the direction that birds flew, the reading of tea leaves, all were interpreted and gave direction towards what tomorrow holds in store.

Having said that – being modern times and all – signs and portents can be read in a much more benign and maybe even accurate manner (at least sometimes).  Newspapers, blogs, reports, sources – you get the picture.  And, if you really pay attention and look for them sing and portents can be very potent.

Portent in point:

This New York Times story ran on Saturday July 5, 2008:

Basically it tells the story of Google and its Day Care. The title of the article was “On Day Care, Google Makes a Rare Fumble.”. At first glance, it seems innocuous enough. Read it carefully. The story is about good solid Day Care that Google once offered to its employees at a fair market value and its unilateral move to change the offering—raise the price, limit availability and in general cut back on perks and such that were once an inseparable part of the public Google culture but are possibly seen as mere entitlements in the current Google era.

Hold the thought on the current Google era.

Let me cut to the chase.  The article ends with the following summary: “Judging by what’s transpired, that’s what Google is fast becoming: just another company.”
Think on that—“just another company.” Google. One of the most admired and envied companies in the world. Is that possible?

Let’s return to the thought on the current Google era.

In the opinion of some, Google may have become a bit greedy and lost its sense of humility. Some sectors may say, “Never much transparency there, but today there is way less”. They may think worse: There is a public exhortation of values – private doing what they want.

All in all, who cares…except that we care.  We care if for no other reason than it’s a portent for the future. A litmus test of what might be next.

While I have no specific answer nor is my view of particular importance, I do believe that we need to pay close attention to this story—if for no other reason than the cracks are beginning to show...and then who knows.

For the sake of signs and portents – I will take the liberty of building on three quotes:

“The offspring of riches: Pride, vanity, ostentation, arrogance, tyranny”
Mark Twain

Tyranny – think on that and the Google-Yahoo deal, on their view on privacy and on how they dealt with business China.

Now follow the thought as expressed in the article:

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron’s cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.
C. S. Lewis

If you ever want to see an expression of Google today this is it. But so what! You should be asking – who cares!

And here is where the signs and portents come into play:

Under conditions of tyranny it is far easier to act than to think.
Hannah Arendt

And there you have it. The future of Google? Maybe the future belongs to those who can continue to think…

What do you think?

Posted by David on 07/07 at 11:33 AM
(9) CommentsPermalink
  1. If thinking includes soliciting the thoughts of others so that your own thinking is expanded, then I would very much agree. Having read your post as well as the article, it seems that biggest mistake Google made was not being open with their staff and more specifically with the staff who would be most affected by this decision--parents. If they had opened discussions they may have been amazed at the wisdome of collective problem solving and may have designed a solution that worked for all involved without hard feelings or negative publicity. This however, works best in an environement where management is trusted, which does not appear to be the case with Google based on the NY Times article.

    Posted by Jinan Martini  on  2008-07-07 20:01:51

  2. I like the sentence, “Indeed, at one meeting, Ms. Wojcicki, a multimillionaire herself, told the parents that she planned to keep her own children in Google day care, despite the higher cost.” That encapsulates what Google really is. A behemoth that is disconnected from truth, decency, and responsibility - only numbers matter. After all, at Google they don’t judge the data, just deliver it. There are plenty of examples of this. Google knowingly ignores data veracity in exchange for user inputs (i.e. politically misplaced towns on the core layer Google Earth when looking at Israel), or their ranking system which continuously gives prominence to hate sites who hired good SEO consultants, despite Google knowing the source and dishonesty of the data on the sites (Google “Jew” for an example). Repeatedly Google’s solution is simply a disclaimer abdicating responsibility and the ability to fix this problem. Yet with China, when their entry into the market was threatened, somehow they managed to judge the data and not deliver it – data that is true and accurate. But some people are thinking. Companies like Peer39 has come up with a technology that far surpasses Google Keyword Matching in ad-to-page accuracy, though it would take a Microsoft or Yahoo to embed it globally and challenge Google. And plenty of people are finally realizing that the lack of a functional overriding moral doctrine at Google, along with their storehouse of data on everybody and everything is actually something to be concerned about.

    Posted by Stephen  on  2008-07-07 23:07:13

  3. Again -- I see this as a metaphor for future success. If you agree that tyranny, ultimatly, limits creativity then the implications are clear. PEER39 and others have a bright future....

    Posted by david  on  2008-07-08 06:06:53

  4. Maybe it's unkind to claim it, but I think Google was very lucky - a single good idea (better approach to search) and a good name. They are vulnerable to the next better methods to link knowledge and seekers. Of course this was no secret to Google, so their conduct after the "big bang + inflation" period has been to shore up all the cracks in the business model. The tyranny (and arrogance) has two explanations, both of which may be true. Maybe more than two explanations. #1: "Power corrupts" (or, ultimately, all powerful orgs fall to temptation). #2: Tactlessness or immaturity in dealing with people (and society). Who is missing? Who could stop their folly? Will they fall? What is a better model that protects? Tom.

    Posted by Tom Osborn  on  2008-07-10 02:55:34

  5. They are vulnerable to the next better methods to link knowledge and seekers. I recently spoke to some low level people at facebook and Yahoo. I wanted to run some (surprisingly obvious to me, but) slightly different types of campaign with them, which would have brought me great results. Both said they didn't have the technology in place to run campaigns that way (which surprised me even more). Sometimes you just miss what's in front of your face, because you are looking in the wrong direction. (I'm saving these ideas until I can figure out how to capitalize on them).

    Posted by Stephen  on  2008-07-10 10:06:17

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